#polymarket

The data shows a wall, not a door. On the surface, the European Securities an...

The news hit my timeline at 2:47 AM Jakarta time. El-Sayed accused of a racis...

The analyst's report is out. Morgan Stanley sees revenue growth potential in Rob

Consider the moment when a platform that began as a niche experiment in...

BREAKING – 09:45 UTC – The Manhattan legal circuit just got a new weapon. Jam...

On March 14, 2023, a wallet address funded by a US Army soldier placed 47...

The crowd is already counting the prize money. A 78% probability is plastered...

The conflict between CME and Kalshi is not a routine market spat. It is a...

On January 2025, as the Eaton and Palisades fires consumed Los Angeles...

Last week, a Crypto Briefing article noted that Citigroup's strategy team is...

Hook An Israeli Air Force officer is charged with converting classified...

The first reports hit my terminal at 14:37 UTC. A Russian missile strike on...

Hook Washington state just told Kalshi to draw a line in the sand. Not a...

JPMorgan shut the bank accounts of Polymarket last week. Not a smart contract...

On January 15, 2025, the microstructure of Polymarket's order book sent a...

The quiet hum of Washington's policy machinery rarely produces a signal that...

Access to the president’s words should be a public good, not a $100,000 month...

The New York City Council has given four prediction market platforms fourteen...

The announcement of Agent Pit, a sandbox for training AI agents to trade on...

The CFTC just reminded prediction markets to clean up their pricing disclosur...

The most dangerous moment in a prediction market isn't the volatile hours...

Over the past 72 hours, more than $2.3 million has flowed into a market that...

Hook There is a peculiar silence between the lines of a collective letter...

Hook On July 28, 2024, Polymarket’s on-chain daily active traders jumped 42% ...

Signal detected. Action required. On March 10, 2025, forty-four U.S. state...

In August 2024, Polymarket processed over $1 billion in betting volume on the...

Álvaro Arbeloa stepped onto the sideline as head coach for the first time. Th...

The market didn't flinch. BTC held $68,200, ETH sat at $3,450, and the...

Kalshi spent $990,000 on federal lobbying in the first half of 2026. That is...

A 72.5% probability of military action against U.S. radar systems near Kuwait...

The code does not lie, but it often omits. On May 12, 2025, Polymarket’s “Ira...

The market says 74% chance of military action against a Gulf state by July 22...

Hook On April 3, 2025, a single wallet address—0x7a1…dead—purchased 10,000 YE...

The Clarity Act contract on Polymarket is trading at 34 cents. That is not a...

Hook Suddenly, a 0.7% probability jumps to 46% — within hours of New York Cit...

The system fails when a single unverifiable report becomes the anchor for a...

Hook In the quiet aftermath of a fire that blacked out parts of southern...

The ledger doesn't lie, but it can whisper in a language few hear. On...

The number hit my terminal at 3:47 AM Paris time. 28.5% → 43.5%. A 15-point...

The backdoor was open, but the key was volatility. Oil just broke $85. Iran...

Hook Over the past 12 months, prediction markets have exploded. Polymarket...

Over the past 48 hours, a single prediction contract on Polymarket logged a...

The ledger screams a number: 0.4%. That is the price of a 'YES' share on...

The probability of the Iranian regime collapsing by September 2025 sits at...

Iran’s vow to resist US ground forces is not about tanks and trenches—it’s...

Over the past seven days, Polymarket's contract for 'Clarity Act Passage by D...

On May 23, Ukraine struck two targets inside Russia: a Wildberries logistics...

On July 12, 2026, Crypto Briefing reported a Polymarket contract pricing the...

On January 30, 2025, a single data point rippled through the crypto news cycl...

Hook On July 31st, a data point appeared on Polymarket that no traditional...